China Buys the Dip (and India, and Japan…)

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“Monday’s plunge has excited the Chinese market,” said the perky anchor on China’s English-language CCTV News.

As we write, gold sits about where it did 24 hours ago, at $1,386. And CCTV devoted the first 10 minutes of its Biz Asia program this morning to gold.

There was a report from one of the country’s major gold bazaars. “On Saturday,” said the manager, “there were so many customers it was difficult to get into the store.”

“Chinese buyers’ faith in the yellow metal remains strong,” said a sound bite with the chief economist at one of the country’s “Big Four” banks. That’s the “love trade” in action — the term coined by Vancouver stalwart Frank Holmes to describe Asians’ cultural affinity for gold.

An expert interviewed in the studio said if Cyprus is forced to sell gold to meet the terms of its bailouts, other sickly eurozone countries might have to do the same. “If Italy is asked to sell gold,” he said, “that would be a large amount.”

Read More at The Daily Reckoning . By Dave Gonigam.

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They’ve Bought Some Time

Japan Flag SC

Japan Flag SC

…but that’s about all and probably not much. Stock markets at highs, precious metals under pressure and bond yields down, what more could you want to “show” that all is well across the land? Well, a couple of “humorous” pieces of news have surfaced beyond what we knew yesterday as to upcoming events that will best be viewed with a bowl of popcorn by your side. It turns out that Spain funded their own debt market the second half of last year by stuffing their equivalent of Social Security with their own sovereign debt. The pension now consists 97% of Spanish sovereign debt. SHOCKING until you look at our own plan which is basically 100% US Treasuries and Agencies. What could possibly go wrong here?

Then we heard from Japan last night (that little island that’s just “glowing” with economic activity). They announced a $1.4 trillion “printing/stimulus” package over the next two years. $1.4 TRILLION! Let me put this in perspective for you, this amount will first of all literally double their money supply in 2 years. It is not one $700 billion U.S. TARP plan. No, it’s TWO back to back from an island the size of New Jersey! But wait, let me REALLY put it into perspective for you. Do you know how much $1.4 trillion really is? At today’s price of gold, it is equal to 7 YEARS of GLOBAL PRODUCTION (what is it about this 7 years stuff? First Germany waits 7 years for their Gold, now Japan does a print job equal to 7 years of global production?).

Where oh where will the Bank of Japan eventually sell these radioactive securities in the marketplace? Especially with the whopping 1/2 of 1% interest that they are paying. AND after telling the world that their currency will be worth almost exactly 1/2 of what it’s “worth” now after doubling the money supply? Let me do a little crude math for you here, In 2 years the buyer of a ten year Samurai bond will earn a cumulative 1% in interest… the Yen will theoretically be worth 50% of what it is today if the money supply doubles as they promise, leaving the buyer with a 49% loss. In the words of “Ronco,” but wait there’s more! What happens if interest rates double to a whopping 1% in 2 years? Another 50% haircut leaving you with 24% of your original investment? Or what if the unthinkable happens and rates go to sky high levels like 2%? Another 50% haircut? I have to stop here because the math is getting just too hard for me… and you get the point anyway, they are announcing a devaluation of the Yen in
massive terms.

Read More at Miles Franklin . By Bill Holter.

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Japan’s Shinzo Abe prepares to print money for the whole world

The profound shift in economic strategy by the world’s top creditor nation could prove a powerful tonic for the global economy, with stimulus leaking into bourses and bond markets – a variant of the “carry trade” earlier this decade but potentially on a larger scale.

“We think this could be the beginning of a fresh reflation cycle for the global system, combining with the US recovery to mark a turning point in the crisis,” said Simon Derrick from BNY Mellon.

“It is tremendously important for global growth, and markets are starting to take note,” said Lars Christensen from Danske Bank.

Mr Abe’s Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) won a landslide victory on Sunday, securing a two-thirds “super-majority” in the Diet with allies that can override senate vetoes.

Armed with a crushing mandate, Mr Abe said he would “set a policy accord” with the Bank of Japan for a mandatory inflation target of 2pc, backed by “unlimited” monetary stimulus.

Read More at telegraph.co.uk . By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard.

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The Future of America Is Japan: Runaway Deficits, Runaway Debts

If you want a look at the fiscal future of the U.S., look west to Japan, a nation that sits precariously on a fiscal cliff a thousand feet high.

If you want to know how the Keynesian Cargo Cult’s grand experiment in borrowing money to fund bloated fiefdoms, rapacious cartels and bridges to nowhere ends, just look west (from California) to Japan. The Japanese State, partly because they seem to believe in the Cargo Cult, and partly to avoid exposing the insolvency of their crony-capitalist financial sector, has been borrowing and spending money on a vast scale for two decades.

The Keynesian Cargo Cult’s primary article of faith is that borrowing and blowing huge sums of money on anything and everything will magically restore “aggregate demand,” i.e. the animal spirits that drive people to borrow and blow money on consumption. This is of course pure insanity, as people cannot borrow if their balance sheet has been destroyed, their real incomes are declining and they have lost trust in institutions that fear transparency and the truth like the Devil fears garlic.

Recall that the Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances for 2007-2010 found that the median net worth of households fell a staggering 39%, from $126,400 to $77,300, and average household income fell 11% from $88,300 to $78,500.

But rather than face the fraud and corruption at the heart of American (and Japanese) finance and governance, the Keynesians just want to leave the predatory, parasitic crony-capitalist Status Quo intact and create an illusory world of bogus “demand” and grotesque malinvestment funded by ever-increasing debt. In effect, the entire Keynesian Project seeks to reinflate asset and government revenue bubbles–the very causes of the global financial meltdown.

Read More By Charles Hugh Smith .

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A Bankrupt World Is An Unstable World

Remember when our problems were mostly just financial, when the scariest possibility was Greece leaving the eurozone and a few zombie banks evaporating? Those were the days.

This week, geopolitics — that is, guns, bombs, and ideology — pushed finance off the front burner. In the East China Sea, for instance, everyone has inexplicably become obsessed with a few barren islands and is apparently willing to trade blood for rocks:

Japanese firms shut plants in China as territorial row escalates

Major Japanese firms have closed their factories in China and urged expatriate workers on Monday to stay home ahead of what could be further angry protests over a territorial dispute that threatens to hurt trade ties between Asia’s two largest economies.

China’s worst outbreak of anti-Japan sentiment in decades led to weekend demonstrations and violent attacks on well-known Japanese businesses such as car-makers Toyota and Honda, forcing frightened Japanese citizens living in the country into hiding and prompting Chinese state media to warn that trade relations could now be in jeopardy.

Read More at dollarcollapse.com. By John Rubino.

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IMF urges Japan to begin reducing debt next year

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Japan_map[1]

The International Monetary Fund urged Japan on Wednesday to begin efforts to reduce its huge public debt from April 2011, as the country’s fiscal situation comes under increasing scrutiny.

After decades of heavy stimulus spending and declining tax revenue, Japan has a public debt mountain bigger than any other industrialised nation, expected to hit 200 percent of gross domestic product in the next year.

“The need for early and credible fiscal adjustment has become critical in Japan,” IMF senior adviser James Gordon said after talks with Japanese officials, adding that measures should include a gradual increase in consumption tax from the current five percent.

“We think fiscal adjustment should start in fiscal year 2011,” Gordon said. The measures “will be made more credible by early action,” he added.

Gordon was part of an IMF team, including first deputy managing director John Lipsky, that held talks with senior officials from Japan’s government, the Bank of Japan and private sector representatives in Tokyo.

Read More: -By Shingo Ito, AFP

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Japan government to face big fund shortage in 2011/12: Nikkei

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Japan’s government may need to issue more bonds or drop some spending plans as it faces a shortage of up to 7 trillion yen ($78 billion) in funds in the year to March 2012, the Nikkei newspaper reported.

An increase in bond issuance would raise the specter of a cut in Japan’s sovereign ratings as the national debt is nearing 200 percent of its gross domestic product, analysts say.

Fitch, Moody’s and Standard and Poor’s have all warned Japan it faces a ratings downgrade, which could raise the borrowing costs for the most indebted of the industrialized nations and rattle investors who are already nervous about Greece’s debt and the sovereign risk facing other European nations.

“The government has said it will launch a fiscal framework this year, and that could be the trigger for a downgrade if it doesn’t go well,” said Nobuto Yamazaki, executive fund manager at DIAM Asset Management in Tokyo.

Read More: – By Rie Ishiguro and Stanley White, Reuters

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Filching Japan’s Future

There were some embarrassing comparisons for Japan in 2002 when rating agencies Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s lowered its sovereign debt rating to put it on par with nations such as Mauritius. For visiting dignitaries and aid beneficiaries such as Festus Mogae, president of Botswana, with a higher rating, it made for some uncomfortable meetings with his Japanese hosts.
The red faces in Tokyo are back after S&P on Tuesday threatened again to notch down Japan’s rating unless Asia’s biggest economy could get a grip on the industrialized world’s highest national debt, almost twice the island nation’s gross domestic product.
For Japan’s embattled prime minister, Yukio Hatoyama, it leaves a stark choice: He either reins in spending pledges he made in August to convince voters to put his Democratic Party of Japan into power or borrows from the future to pay for now, which risks accelerating his country along the road to bankruptcy. Most of the money to pay for his proposed record budget this year will come from loans ($490 billion) rather than dwindling tax revenue.

There were some embarrassing comparisons for Japan in 2002 when rating agencies Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s lowered its sovereign debt rating to put it on par with nations such as Mauritius. For visiting dignitaries and aid beneficiaries such as Festus Mogae, president of Botswana, with a higher rating, it made for some uncomfortable meetings with his Japanese hosts.

The red faces in Tokyo are back after S&P on Tuesday threatened again to notch down Japan’s rating unless Asia’s biggest economy could get a grip on the industrialized world’s highest national debt, almost twice the island nation’s gross domestic product.

For Japan’s embattled prime minister, Yukio Hatoyama, it leaves a stark choice: He either reins in spending pledges he made in August to convince voters to put his Democratic Party of Japan into power or borrows from the future to pay for now, which risks accelerating his country along the road to bankruptcy. Most of the money to pay for his proposed record budget this year will come from loans ($490 billion) rather than dwindling tax revenue.

Read More: – By Tim Kelly, Forbes

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Japan: An Inflationary Spiral Ahead?

During the past few years you have most likely read about Japan’s so-called lost decade or its so-called deflationary malaise. And you may have heard warnings that the Japanese experience might be the dire blueprint for what’s to come in the U.S.

Since there are some striking similarities between Japan of the early 1990s and the U.S. today, it’s definitely worth the effort to have a closer look at what is going on in Japan — and what is probably going to happen in the U.S.

First, the Similarities Between
Japan and the U.S. …

In 1990 a stock market bubble burst in Japan. Two years later an even larger real estate bubble burst. The economy was hit by a recession. Huge monetary and fiscal stimuli were implemented, and government indebtedness went through the roof, rising from 60 percent of GDP to as high as 200 percent, where it stands now.

Read More: – by Claus Vogt, Money and Markets

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Experts: Japan’s Growth Plan Lacks Solid Details

Japan’s government said it aimed for economic growth of more than 2 percent over the next decade, but its long-term plan unveiled on Wednesday lacked detail needed to convince investors the goal is realistic.

The world’s second-largest economy emerged from recession in the second quarter, but persistent declines in prices and wages and ballooning public debt threatening Japan’s credit rating have fueled doubts whether the export-led recovery can be sustained.

The government said in its 30-page growth blueprint it would work with the Bank of Japan to overcome deflation as early as possible, but analysts said markets wanted to see how the authorities planned to achieve that.

“What we have at the moment is just a blueprint, a road map. It looks good on paper but we have to wait for details and how do they plan to implement it,” said Mitul Kotecha, global head of forex strategy at Calyon in Hong Kong.

He said the fact that there was no detailed plan for tackling deflation was a matter of concern.

“Unless markets see some concrete steps being taken in that direction they will remain unconvinced about the resolve.”

Read More: -Reuters

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The Sound Money Institute is and educational organization dedicated to the stability and soundness of the United States Dollar. Faced with unprecedented pressure to spend beyond its means the United States Government has pressured the Federal Reserve Bank to monetize the debt or in other words they are printing currency to fund deficit spending by the US Treasury.

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